http://onlywire.com/r/45228823 Article by at 2011-07-11 08:33:50
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Published: Sunday, February 13, 2011, 7:45 AM If Eminem doesn’t take the top prize — Album of the Year — at the 2011 Grammy Awards , it will be a surprise. I’m not making this prediction myself. I’m letting the numbers make the call. I’m not always emotion and pageantry — sometimes I’m detached and scientific. See, while my dad was a rock ’n’ roll musician, my mother was a math teacher. She always wanted a proof. And since the Grammys notoriously reward formulaic music, I’ve emerged from my dark twisted laboratory (steaming beaker in hand) with a formula for success. The rubric I’ve devised would have correctly guessed the Album of the Year winner in 15 of the past 18 years. We’ll discuss one it got wrong in the sidebar, and examine why that year was an outlier. This year probably won’t be one. It’s a straightforward, typical Grammy field, and one that ought to be easily handicapped by my sup